James, Cavs welcome Celtics to the "Q"
Basketball Betting Lines
03/14/2010 -
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - A pair of Eastern Conference heavyweights clash Sunday
afternoon as LeBron James and his Cleveland Cavaliers play host to the Boston Celtics.
James returned to the Cavaliers lineup Friday in Philadelphia after missing a
pair of games with a balky right ankle and scored 23 points as Cleveland
pulled out a tough 100-95 decision over the 76ers.
"The King" also handed out 10 assists and grabbed six rebounds for the
Cavaliers, who went 1-1 in his absence.
Mo Williams chipped in 21 and Delonte West scored 17 points, while fellow
reserve Anderson Varejao had 12 points and 12 rebounds for the Cavs, who have
won eight of their last nine games.
"We executed defensively the right way," said Cleveland coach Mike Brown.
"LeBron did a nice job trying to attack to get to the free throw line down the
stretch. More importantly, defensively, we got stops at the right time."
Forward Antawn Jamison missed the game against the Sixers due to a cyst behind
his left knee but hopes to return to the lineup this afternoon.
The Celtics, meanwhile, are coming off a blowout win over Indiana. Paul Pierce
scored 20 to lead a balanced attack in that one, as Boston got back to its
winning ways with a 122-103 rout of the lowly Pacers in Beantown.
Rajon Rondo added 16 points and 11 assists for the Celtics, who had lost two
straight overall, in addition to eight of their last 15 games at home. Boston,
which went 35-6 at TD Garden in each of the past two seasons, improved to just
19-12 as the host in 2009-10.
"(We) were stung the other night (in a 20-point loss to Memphis), but also I
warned them going into tonight: just because you want to fix it if things
don't start out right, you can't hang your head or panic about it," said
Celtics head coach Doc Rivers. "The difference (Friday) was we hung in there
and we got some stops. And then we got on a run."
Nate Robinson and Glen Davis each came off the bench to score 15, and Ray
Allen poured in 13 points in the win. Kendrick Perkins provided 10 points and
seven rebounds.
The Cavs had won 11 straight at home against Boston - including the playoffs
-- before dropping a 95-89 decision on Oct. 27. Cleveland then responded to
even the season series with a 108-88 blowout win in Beantown on Feb. 25.
Overall, the Cavs are tops in the Eastern Conference while Boston has fallen
to fourth and has been playing .500 ball (18-18) since Christmas.
<< Reeling Raptors finish road trip in Portland
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The reeling Toronto Raptors haven't been playing like a
team headed toward the postseason and will try and salvage the finale of a
four-game road trip Sunday night against the surging Portland Trail Blazers.
The Raptors fe
<< Wolves, Kings clash in Sacramento
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Two teams headed for the NBA Draft Lottery tangle in
Sacramento tonight as the Kings play host to the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Sacramento lost for the fourth time in five outings on Friday when Brandon Roy
poured in 28 poin
<< Suns resume homestand vs. fading Hornets
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Phoenix Suns hope to get back on the winning track
Sunday when they resume a season-long seven-game homestand against the
fading New Orleans Hornets at US Airways Center.
The Suns fell to 1-2 on their residency Friday
<< Surging Flames visit Canucks, GM Place
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Flames are getting hot at just the right time. Calgary
will try to match its longest winning streak of the season tonight when it
visits GM Place to take on the Vancouver Canucks.
The Flames have won four straight as t
<< Jazz visit Thunder in key Western Conference matchup
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Two of the Western Conference's top teams jockey for
playoff position in Oklahoma City Sunday as Kevin Durant and the Thunder
welcome the Utah Jazz to town.
The Jazz are currently the fourth seed in the jumbled West, 1 1/2
Franchitti takes pole for season-opener in Brazil >>
Sao Paulo, Brazil (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Reigning IZOD IndyCar Series champion
Dario Franchitti will start on the pole for the Sao Paulo Indy 300 after
posting the fastest time in Sunday's qualifying on the streets of Sao Paulo.
One d
Indians closer Kerry Wood not worried >>
GOODYEAR, Ariz. (AP) -Kerry Wood says he's not worried about missing any more time with the Cleveland Indians because of a sore back.The veteran closer says missing an outing Saturday was just precautionary. He said the soreness would not have kept
Ford out of Pacers' lineup 7 to 10 days >>
MILWAUKEE (AP) -Pacers point guard T.J. Ford is expected to miss seven to 10 days with a sore left groin.Coach Jim O'Brien made the announcement before Indiana played the Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday.Ford was injured early in the first quarter of a los
Capitals star Ovechkin gets game misconduct >>
CHICAGO (AP) -NHL scoring leader Alex Ovechkin is out of the Capitals' game against the Blackhawks after receiving a five-minute major and a game misconduct in the first period for driving Chicago's Brian Campbell into the boards from behind.Ovechki
Reid to work out at LSU Monday >>
HOUSTON (AP) -Bobby Reid hasn't played football since a 2008 injury, but the former Oklahoma State quarterback might get another chance at reviving his once-promising career.Reid, who became known more for Mike Gundy's now infamous ``I'm a man. I'm
Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?
Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “
What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?
There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).
Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
How the Opening Line Is Made
The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.
Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.
Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.
A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:
Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)
The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.
For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."
“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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